Franketology: February 17, 2025

Welp, the committee revealed their top-16 Saturday, here they are, with my Friday Franketology top-16 in parentheses, and Friday bracketology “all team sheet metrics average” after the parenthesis:

1. Auburn (Auburn) 1

2. Alabama (Duke) 2

3. Duke (Alabama) 3

4. Florida (Tennessee) 4

5. Tennessee (Florida) 6

6. Texas A&M (Houston) 8

7. Purdue (Purdue) 9

8. Houston (Iowa St.) 5

9. Iowa State (Illinois) 7

10. Kentucky (Texas A&M) 14

11. Wisconsin (Kentucky) 10

12. Arizona (Texas Tech) 15

13. Texas Tech (Arizona) 11

14. Michigan (Kansas) 13

15. Kansas (Maryland) 17

16. St. John’s. (Wisconsin) 16

Not too shabby. I for one am fairly impressed with myself. If I doo this well throughout my final bracket I’ll be happy. As far as what I learned about this year’s committee, by lining up these seeds with various metrics and averages: The committee seems to be largely tracking the All Team Sheet Metrics Average. It’s unclear what’s the defining characteristic of teams that got bumped up or down, as each of the teams that were moved up or down from their all resume metrics average brings something different to the table. So from that perspective I will keep doing what I’ve been doing with one small tweak: use the all metrics average as my baseline, instead of predictive metrics average, and adjust from there based on other factors (quad records, predictive metrics, etc.)

That’s all I got today. Without further ado, here’s your Franketology:

Here’s a link to the full spreadsheet.

True Seed List

1. Auburn

2. Duke

3. Florida

4. Alabama

5. Tennessee

6. Texas A&M

7. Wisconsin

8. Houston

9. Iowa St.

10. Texas Tech

11. Purdue

12. Michigan

13. St. John’s

14. Kentucky

15. Arizona

16. Michigan St.

17. Missouri

18. Kansas

19. Maryland

20. Marquette

21. Ole Miss

22. Illinois

23. UCLA

24. Mississippi St.

25. Memphis

26. Baylor

27. Creighton

28. Clemson

29. Oregon

30. Ohio St.

31. New Mexico

32. UConn

33. Saint Mary’s (CA)

34. Louisville

35. Utah St.

36. Nebrasketball

37. Gonzaga

    Last Four Byes

38. Oklahoma

39. West Virginia

40. Texas

41. Georgia

    Last Four In

42. Arkansas

43. San Diego St.

44. Vanderbilt

45. BYU

    Remaining Auto-Bids

46. Drake

47. VCU

48. UC San Diego

49. Arkansas St.

50. Liberty

51. McNeese St.

52. Yale

53. High Point

54. Grand Canyon

55. Akron

56. Samford

57. Lipscomb

58. South Dakota St.

59. UNCW

60. Northern Colo.

61. Milwaukee

62. CCSU

63. Norfolk St.

64. Bryant

65. Southern U.

66. Quinnipiac

67. Little Rock

68. Bucknell

    First Four Out

69. Kansas St.

70. USC

71. Wake Forest

72. SMU

    Next Four Out

73. UNC

74. Xavier

75. Indiana

76. Boise St.

NIT bracketology?! Fuck it, it’s a holiday, NIT Bracketology! WHAT’S THAT?! CROWN BRACKETOLOGY TOO?! YOLO!

NIT Bracketology

1. SMU

2. UNC

3. GMU

4. BSU

5. USC

6. KSU

7. San Fran

8. UCI

9. UNT

10. LSU

11. Bradley

12. Butler

13. South Carolina

14. Middle Tenn.

15. Chattanooga

16. Utah Valley

17. Wake Forest

18. Pittsburgh

19. Santa Clara

20. Dayton

21. Stanford

22. Minnesota

23. Washington

24. Oregon St.

25. Florida St.

26. Saint Joseph’s

27. St. Bonnies

28. Washington St.

29. UVa

30. Oklahoma St.

31. UNLV

32. College of Charleston

Crown Bracketology

Don’t have me committed. I heard that B1G, Big12 and Big East squads aren’t allowed to turn down a Crown bid for the NIT, so I figured NIT bracketology might not make sense if I applied that to my NIT bracketology, without also doing Crown Bracketology. So really I’m only: does “NIT bracketology once in awhile” crazy, not “set out this morning with designs on doing Crown Bracketology, please commit me now” crazy.

1. Cincy

2. Villanova

3. Xavier

4. Indiana

5. Northwestern

6. Arizona St.

7. Iowa

8. Nevada

9. Colorado St.

10. Utah

11. UCF

12. TCU

13. Penn St.

14. Rutgers

15. Providence

16. Georgetown